U.S. macro backdrop

MACRO BACKDROP · MARKET VIEW

Market view · as of Oct 24, 2026

Fed funds rate
3.75%
2026-09-01 · 3.63% prior
10-yr Treasury
4.96%
2026-10-22 · 5.13% prior
Unemployment
4.2%
2026-09-01 · 4.1% prior
CPI (index)
336.298
2026-09-01 · 334.131 prior

The U.S. macro backdrop shows a fed funds rate of 3.75% as of September 1, 2026, sitting below the 10-year Treasury yield of 4.96% as of October 22 — an inverted policy-versus-long-end configuration. Unemployment stood at 4.2% as of September 1. The CPI index registered 336.298 for September, with no year-over-year inflation rate derivable from the single data point provided.

Indicators

IndicatorLatestPriorAs of
Fed funds rate3.75%3.63%2026-09-01
10-yr Treasury4.96%5.13%2026-10-22
Unemployment4.2%4.1%2026-09-01
CPI (index)336.298334.1312026-09-01

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