U.S. macro backdrop

MACRO BACKDROP · MARKET VIEW

Market view · as of Sep 28, 2026

Fed funds rate
3.63%
2026-08-01 · 3.63% prior
10-yr Treasury
5.18%
2026-09-24 · 5.11% prior
Unemployment
4.1%
2026-08-01 · 4.1% prior
CPI (index)
334.131
2026-08-01 · 332.813 prior

The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 5.18% as of September 24, 2026, a level that keeps long-term borrowing costs elevated. The fed funds rate sits at 3.63% as of August 1, leaving a wide gap between the policy rate and long yields. Labor market conditions show unemployment at 4.1% for August. The CPI index registered 334.131 in August, with no year-over-year inflation rate available from the provided data.

Indicators

IndicatorLatestPriorAs of
Fed funds rate3.63%3.63%2026-08-01
10-yr Treasury5.18%5.11%2026-09-24
Unemployment4.1%4.1%2026-08-01
CPI (index)334.131332.8132026-08-01

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