Vistra Corp. (VST · NYSE)
VST · MARKET VIEW
Market view · as of Oct 12, 2026
Price (last ~year)
Vistra shares have rallied sharply over the past week, up 15.3% over five days to $161.48, with the move tied to a conditional Energy Department loan for its nuclear fleet. The stock remains 23.0% below its 52-week high of $217.10, though it trades 11.8% above its 20-day moving average with an RSI of 69 approaching overbought territory. Fundamentals show pressure: revenue fell 5.5% year over year and earnings declined 6.2%, while free cash flow was thin at $133.0M in the June quarter against $1.02B in operating cash flow and $890.0M in capex. The company beat estimates in two of its last four quarters, most recently reporting $1.80 versus $1.54 expected, and carries a P/E of 27.23 with debt/EBITDA at 3.0x.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $54.20B
- P/E
- 27.23
- PEG
- 0.344
- P/B
- 15.41
- P/S
- 2.821
- EV/EBITDA
- 10.42
- Beta
- 1.384
- Analyst target
- $210.25
Quality & returns
- Gross margin
- 38.3%
- Operating margin
- 13.8%
- Profit margin
- 11.6%
- ROE
- 43.0%
- ROA
- 5.9%
Price movement
- Last
- $161.48
- 1-month
- +9.0%
- 3-month
- +6.0%
- RSI (14)
- 69
- vs SMA200
- +4.7%
- 52-wk position
- 36.1% -23.0% vs high
Quarterly trajectory
Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)
| Quarter | Revenue | Op income | Net income | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $4.02B | $553.0M | $305.0M | $1.20B |
| 2026-03-31 | $4.65B | $527.0M | $1.03B | $2.21B |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.34B | $-1.75B | $233.0M | $1.30B |
| 2025-09-30 | $4.97B | $1.04B | $652.0M | $1.83B |
Recent news
- Neutral Vistra (VST) Nuclear Loan Rally Puts Valuation Back In Focus · 2026-10-11
- Somewhat-Bullish Vistra Corp. $VST Holdings Boosted by Oak Grove Capital LLC · 2026-10-10
- Bullish New Era Energy & Digital Inc (NUAI-Q) Stock Price and News · 2026-10-10
- Neutral Deep Fission, Inc. (FISN) Stock Price, News, Quote & History · 2026-10-10
- Bullish Vistra Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day · 2026-10-09
- Somewhat-Bullish Why is NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) drawing attention as electricity demand surges? · 2026-10-09
Sources this view read
- fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
- filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
- earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
- prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)