Vistra Corp. (VST · NYSE)

VST · MARKET VIEW

Market view · as of Sep 28, 2026

Revenue (TTM)
$19.21B
-5.5% YoY
Gross margin
38.3%
EPS (latest q)
$1.80
vs $1.54 est · beat
52-wk position
5.5%
-33.9% vs 52w high · -0.8% 1mo

Price (last ~year)

Vistra shares have slid 9.5% over the past three months to $138.46, sitting 33.9% below their 52-week high with an RSI of 31 and trading 10.8% below the 200-day moving average. Fundamentals remain solid despite the drawdown: the company beat estimates in its last two quarters ($1.80 vs. $1.54 in Q2; $2.87 vs. $2.21 in Q1), posted $1.11B in Q2 EBITDA on $4.02B of revenue, and carries a 43.0% ROE with debt/EBITDA at 3.0x. Recent highlights include a 20-year power purchase agreement with New Era Energy & Digital via affiliate Luminant and a $1.5B junior subordinated notes offering. Revenue fell 5.5% year over year on a TTM basis ($19.21B), and free cash flow was modest at $133.0M last quarter after $890.0M in capex.

Valuation

Market cap
$46.47B
P/E
23.35
PEG
0.344
P/B
15.41
P/S
2.419
EV/EBITDA
10.42
Beta
1.414
Analyst target
$217.58

Quality & returns

Gross margin
38.3%
Operating margin
13.8%
Profit margin
11.6%
ROE
43.0%
ROA
5.9%

Price movement

Last
$138.46
1-month
-0.8%
3-month
-9.5%
RSI (14)
31
vs SMA200
-10.8%
52-wk position
5.5% -33.9% vs high

Quarterly trajectory

Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)

QuarterRevenueOp incomeNet incomeEBITDA
2026-06-30$4.02B$553.0M$305.0M$1.11B
2026-03-31$4.65B$527.0M$1.03B$2.21B
2025-12-31$2.34B$-1.75B$233.0M$1.30B
2025-09-30$4.97B$1.04B$652.0M$1.87B

Recent news

Sources this view read

  • fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
  • filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
  • earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
  • prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)

Other snapshots