Vistra Corp. (VST · NYSE)

VST · MARKET VIEW

Market view · as of Oct 5, 2026

Revenue (TTM)
$19.21B
-5.5% YoY
Gross margin
38.3%
EPS (latest q)
$1.80
vs $1.54 est · beat
52-wk position
7.6%
-33.2% vs 52w high · -2.8% 1mo

Price (last ~year)

Vistra shares rose 4.93% on October 2 after reports that the U.S. government plans to lend the company $4.2 billion to boost output at at least three of its four nuclear stations, though the stock remains down 11.2% over three months and 33.2% below its 52-week high at $140.02. The company beat estimates in two of its last four quarters, including Q2 2026 EPS of $1.80 versus $1.54 expected, while revenue fell 5.5% year over year to $19.21 billion TTM and free cash flow was a thin $133.0 million against $19.89 billion in total debt. Returns are strong—ROE of 43.0% and EV/EBITDA of 10.42—and seventeen brokerages hold a "Moderate Buy" with an average 12-month target of $219.33, though CX Institutional cut its stake by 93.5% in Q3.

Valuation

Market cap
$47.00B
P/E
23.57
PEG
0.344
P/B
15.41
P/S
2.446
EV/EBITDA
10.42
Beta
1.414
Analyst target
$212.25

Quality & returns

Gross margin
38.3%
Operating margin
13.8%
Profit margin
11.6%
ROE
43.0%
ROA
5.9%

Price movement

Last
$140.02
1-month
-2.8%
3-month
-11.2%
RSI (14)
49
vs SMA200
-9.3%
52-wk position
7.6% -33.2% vs high

Quarterly trajectory

Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)

QuarterRevenueOp incomeNet incomeEBITDA
2026-06-30$4.02B$553.0M$305.0M$1.11B
2026-03-31$4.65B$527.0M$1.03B$2.21B
2025-12-31$2.34B$-1.75B$233.0M$1.30B
2025-09-30$4.97B$1.04B$652.0M$1.87B

Recent news

Sources this view read

  • fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
  • filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
  • earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
  • prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)

Other snapshots