Vistra Corp. (VST · NYSE)
VST · MARKET VIEW
Market view · as of Sep 21, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
$19.21B
-5.5% YoY
Gross margin
38.3%
EPS (latest q)
$1.80
vs $1.54 est · beat
52-wk position
7.5%
-35.2% vs 52w high · +1.2% 1mo
Price (last ~year)
Vistra shares fell 2.0% to $140.67, leaving the stock down 13.6% over three months and 35.2% below its 52-week high, though Morgan Stanley reiterated its Buy rating and raised its target to $227. Q2 results beat estimates ($1.80 vs. $1.54), but revenue declined 5.5% year over year to $4.02B and net income fell to $305.0M from $1.03B the prior quarter. The company carries $19.89B in total debt at 3.0x EBITDA with thin free cash flow of $133.0M after $890.0M in capex, while a flare-up in batteries at its Moss Landing plant adds operational uncertainty. Valuation sits at 23.68 P/E and 10.56 EV/EBITDA against a 43.0% ROE.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $47.21B
- P/E
- 23.68
- PEG
- 0.349
- P/B
- 15.71
- P/S
- 2.458
- EV/EBITDA
- 10.56
- Beta
- 1.414
- Analyst target
- $217.58
Quality & returns
- Gross margin
- 38.3%
- Operating margin
- 13.8%
- Profit margin
- 11.6%
- ROE
- 43.0%
- ROA
- 5.9%
Price movement
- Last
- $140.67
- 1-month
- +1.2%
- 3-month
- -13.6%
- RSI (14)
- 55
- vs SMA200
- -9.9%
- 52-wk position
- 7.5% -35.2% vs high
Quarterly trajectory
Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)
| Quarter | Revenue | Op income | Net income | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $4.02B | $553.0M | $305.0M | $1.11B |
| 2026-03-31 | $4.65B | $527.0M | $1.03B | $2.21B |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.34B | $-1.75B | $233.0M | $1.30B |
| 2025-09-30 | $4.97B | $1.04B | $652.0M | $1.87B |
Recent news
- Bullish Vistra Corp stock holds after Morgan Stanley keeps Buy · 2026-09-20
- Somewhat-Bearish Firefighters knock down blaze at Moss Landing battery plant · 2026-09-20
- Bearish Intact batteries at Vistra's previously burned Moss Landing Power Plant ignited a new flare-up. · 2026-09-19
- Neutral Technical Analysis of Vistra Corp. (CRYPTOCOM:VSTUSD.P) · 2026-09-19
- Bullish Vistra Corp (VST) — Power Infrastructure Play for Data Centers Beyond Nuclear · 2026-09-19
- Somewhat-Bullish NiSource remains a Buy despite recent 14% share drop amid storm and data center concerns · 2026-09-18
Sources this view read
- fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
- filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
- earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
- prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)