Progressive Corp (PGR · NYSE)
PGR · MARKET VIEW
Market view · as of Oct 5, 2026
Price (last ~year)
Progressive shares have slid 8.3% over three months to $210.31, with the stock down 6.0% in the past month despite beating estimates in three of its last four quarters. August results showed net premiums written up 6% year over year to $7.605 billion, but net income fell 22% to $951 million as the combined ratio deteriorated, and UBS maintained a Neutral rating with a $234 target. The quarter ended 2026-06-30 showed revenue of $23.62 billion and net income of $3.31 billion, up from $22.18 billion and $2.82 billion the prior quarter, with trailing-twelve-month revenue at $91.02 billion. The company carries a P/E of 10.55, ROE of 34.9%, and low leverage at 0.5x debt/EBITDA, while the stock sits 10.3% below its 52-week high with an RSI of 35.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $122.06B
- P/E
- 10.55
- PEG
- 63.46
- P/B
- 3.498
- P/S
- 1.341
- EV/EBITDA
- 21.85
- Beta
- 0.259
- Analyst target
- $232.05
Quality & returns
- Gross margin
- 18.5%
- Operating margin
- 18.2%
- Profit margin
- 12.9%
- ROE
- 34.9%
- ROA
- 7.8%
Price movement
- Last
- $210.31
- 1-month
- -6.0%
- 3-month
- -8.3%
- RSI (14)
- 35
- vs SMA200
- +1.0%
- 52-wk position
- 45.5% -10.3% vs high
Quarterly trajectory
Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)
| Quarter | Revenue | Op income | Net income | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $23.62B | $4.21B | $3.31B | $4.38B |
| 2026-03-31 | $22.18B | $3.57B | $2.82B | $3.71B |
| 2025-12-31 | $22.74B | $3.68B | $2.95B | $3.83B |
| 2025-09-30 | $22.51B | $3.32B | $2.62B | $3.47B |
Recent news
- Neutral Progressive Corp stock faces Q3 test as August premiums rise 6 percent · 2026-10-03
- Somewhat-Bearish Progressive reports August results as Progressive Corp stock sits at EUR 186.88 · 2026-10-03
- Somewhat-Bullish 2 Insurance Stocks to Buy With Dividend Streaks Longer Than 50 Years · 2026-10-03
- Neutral UBS keeps Neutral rating for Progressive Corp stock at USD 234.00 · 2026-10-02
- Somewhat-Bullish Plumas Bancorp (PLBC-Q) Stock Price and News · 2026-10-01
- Somewhat-Bearish Progressive reports August profit drop while Progressive Corp stock trades in Europe · 2026-10-01
Sources this view read
- fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
- filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
- earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
- prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)