NVR Inc (NVR · NYSE)
NVR · MARKET VIEW
Market view · as of Oct 5, 2026
Price (last ~year)
NVR shares have fallen 7.4% over three months to $5,993.85, and Morgan Stanley's October 3 initiation at Underweight with a $5,058 target added pressure, leaving the stock 26.7% below its 52-week high. Fundamentals are deteriorating: revenue declined 10.9% YoY and earnings fell 22.6%, while the company missed EPS estimates in each of the last two quarters (by 11.5% and 14.4% respectively). Operating cash flow turned negative at -$151.5M for the quarter ended June 30, though the balance sheet remains solid with $1.20B cash against $1.05B total debt and a 0.7x debt/EBITDA ratio. Returns are still strong at 31.5% ROE with a 13.9% operating margin, and the stock trades at a 15.58 P/E against an RSI of 33.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $16.05B
- P/E
- 15.58
- PEG
- 4.971
- P/B
- 4.905
- P/S
- 1.658
- EV/EBITDA
- 10.75
- Beta
- 0.913
- Analyst target
- $6441.17
Quality & returns
- Gross margin
- 21.8%
- Operating margin
- 13.9%
- Profit margin
- 11.8%
- ROE
- 31.5%
- ROA
- 16.6%
Price movement
- Last
- $5993.85
- 1-month
- -6.0%
- 3-month
- -7.4%
- RSI (14)
- 33
- vs SMA200
- -10.4%
- 52-wk position
- 16.5% -26.7% vs high
Quarterly trajectory
Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)
| Quarter | Revenue | Op income | Net income | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $2.33B | $308.3M | $236.5M | $308.3M |
| 2026-03-31 | $1.88B | $226.4M | $198.4M | $265.6M |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.71B | $447.4M | $363.8M | $482.9M |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.51B | $423.0M | $342.7M | $457.0M |
Recent news
- Neutral NVR stock falls as Morgan Stanley starts coverage with Underweight · 2026-10-03
- Neutral Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) Stock Forecasts · 2026-10-03
- Somewhat-Bullish Howard Hughes Communities Names Kate Kaminski Arizona President · 2026-10-02
- Bearish $Opendoor Technologies (OPEN.US)$ 🚨 Breaking: September nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000, missing the expected gain of 89,000. The US unemployment rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%. The labor market is starting to collapse. · 2026-10-02
- Bearish Morgan Stanley Initiates NVR Inc(NVR.US) With Sell Rating, Announces Target Price $5,058 · 2026-10-01
- Somewhat-Bullish Berkshire Hathaway boosts stake in Lennar, piling into U.S. housing (LEN:NYSE) · 2026-10-01
Sources this view read
- fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
- filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
- earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
- prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)