Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG · NYSE)
CMG · MARKET VIEW
Market view · as of Oct 5, 2026
Price (last ~year)
Chipotle shares have fallen 13.9% over the past month to $32.36, leaving the stock with an RSI of 16 and trading 7.2% below its 200-day moving average despite beating estimates in all four of its last quarters. Fundamentals remain solid but decelerating: revenue grew 9.3% year over year to $12.42B TTM while earnings declined 1.3%, and the June quarter showed sequential improvement with revenue of $3.35B and net income of $403.5M. Returns on capital are strong (ROE 49.6%, ROA 13.1%) and the company generated $463.4M in quarterly free cash flow, though leverage has crept up to 2.4x debt/EBITDA with a current ratio of 0.72. The stock trades at a 29.96 P/E against an analyst target of $43.76, sitting at the 29.5th percentile of its 52-week range.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $40.95B
- P/E
- 29.96
- PEG
- 1.732
- P/B
- 15.3
- P/S
- 3.296
- EV/EBITDA
- 24.4
- Beta
- 0.937
- Analyst target
- $43.76
Quality & returns
- Gross margin
- 39.4%
- Operating margin
- 16.1%
- Profit margin
- 11.4%
- ROE
- 49.6%
- ROA
- 13.1%
Price movement
- Last
- $32.36
- 1-month
- -13.9%
- 3-month
- -6.5%
- RSI (14)
- 16
- vs SMA200
- -7.2%
- 52-wk position
- 29.5% -23.6% vs high
Quarterly trajectory
Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)
| Quarter | Revenue | Op income | Net income | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $3.35B | $525.6M | $403.5M | $631.6M |
| 2026-03-31 | $3.09B | $418.5M | $302.8M | $515.2M |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.98B | $445.7M | $330.9M | $538.4M |
| 2025-09-30 | $3.00B | $498.3M | $382.1M | $588.8M |
Recent news
- Somewhat-Bullish Business Ins and Outs | Jack in the Box, airport shuttle, Dutch Bros. and 7 Brew opening · 2026-10-04
- Somewhat-Bearish Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Tests Its Halloween Buzz Following A Pricey Valuation Narrative · 2026-10-04
- Bullish Chipotle Mexican Grill opens new Manatee restaurant. It’s a company milestone · 2026-10-04
- Bullish Chipotle Mexican Grill opens new Manatee restaurant. It’s a company milestone · 2026-10-04
- Neutral Chipotle Mexican Grill stock after-hours at EUR 28.75: minus 0.10 percent versus prior close · 2026-10-02
- Bullish Chipotle to open Madison Heights location Monday · 2026-10-02
Sources this view read
- fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
- filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
- earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
- prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)