Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG · NYSE)

CMG · MARKET VIEW

Market view · as of Oct 5, 2026

Revenue (TTM)
$12.42B
+9.3% YoY
Gross margin
39.4%
EPS (latest q)
$0.33
vs $0.32 est · beat
52-wk position
29.5%
-23.6% vs 52w high · -13.9% 1mo

Price (last ~year)

Chipotle shares have fallen 13.9% over the past month to $32.36, leaving the stock with an RSI of 16 and trading 7.2% below its 200-day moving average despite beating estimates in all four of its last quarters. Fundamentals remain solid but decelerating: revenue grew 9.3% year over year to $12.42B TTM while earnings declined 1.3%, and the June quarter showed sequential improvement with revenue of $3.35B and net income of $403.5M. Returns on capital are strong (ROE 49.6%, ROA 13.1%) and the company generated $463.4M in quarterly free cash flow, though leverage has crept up to 2.4x debt/EBITDA with a current ratio of 0.72. The stock trades at a 29.96 P/E against an analyst target of $43.76, sitting at the 29.5th percentile of its 52-week range.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.95B
P/E
29.96
PEG
1.732
P/B
15.3
P/S
3.296
EV/EBITDA
24.4
Beta
0.937
Analyst target
$43.76

Quality & returns

Gross margin
39.4%
Operating margin
16.1%
Profit margin
11.4%
ROE
49.6%
ROA
13.1%

Price movement

Last
$32.36
1-month
-13.9%
3-month
-6.5%
RSI (14)
16
vs SMA200
-7.2%
52-wk position
29.5% -23.6% vs high

Quarterly trajectory

Revenue by quarter (oldest → newest)

QuarterRevenueOp incomeNet incomeEBITDA
2026-06-30$3.35B$525.6M$403.5M$631.6M
2026-03-31$3.09B$418.5M$302.8M$515.2M
2025-12-31$2.98B$445.7M$330.9M$538.4M
2025-09-30$3.00B$498.3M$382.1M$588.8M

Recent news

Sources this view read

  • fundamentals Company overview & valuation (Alpha Vantage OVERVIEW)
  • filing Quarterly financial statements (Alpha Vantage INCOME/BALANCE/CASH)
  • earnings Reported earnings history (Alpha Vantage EARNINGS)
  • prices Adjusted daily prices (Alpha Vantage TIME_SERIES_DAILY_ADJUSTED)

Other snapshots