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Whoever can subsidize the mortgage captures the buyer in a frozen housing market.

Because individual resale sellers cannot buy down a buyer's loan, production builders with in-house mortgage arms convert affordability subsidies into market share while existing-home inventory piles up at a decade high.

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The same conclusion keeps arriving from across the workspace's research — 1 topics independently instantiate this theme. Filter the evidence by where it came from:

The US Housing Bottleneck
New Homes Now Cheaper Per Square Foot Than Existing in a Third of Major Markets — Zillow Quantifies the Builder-Discount Economy

A headline sales high manufactured by buydowns and falling new-home prices is the subsidy-captures-the-buyer mechanism made visible in the price data itself.

The US Housing Bottleneck
Lennar Q3 FY2026: Incentives Fall to 12% While Orders Miss — Volume-Over-Margin Strategy Holds Through a Rate Shock

Lennar's in-house financing buys down mortgages to hold volume while individual resale sellers cannot, converting subsidy capacity directly into share.

The US Housing Bottleneck
The K-Shaped Housing Market Bifurcation: Luxury Resilience vs. Affordable Squeeze and Builder Incentives in Late 2026

Builders with in-house mortgage arms convert rate buydowns into share while individual resale sellers cannot subsidize a buyer's loan — the law's mechanism stated nearly verbatim.

The US Housing Bottleneck
August 2026 Existing-Home Sales: Inventory Tops 1.6 Million for First Time Since 2019 — 4.9 Months' Supply Highest in a Decade, Cancellations at Five-Year High

The buydown-capacity asymmetry between builder-owned lenders and resale sellers is the law's clearest statement, with 4.9-month resale supply as the evidence of the freezing side.